Originally Posted by CUhoopster48
GL - thanks a lot. That is a great idea and definitely appeals to my inner stat geekdom. This is a keeper league so I will definitely have to implement a system like that for next year. It may be too late to do so this year.
Never too late. :-) I guess what I really showed you wasn't a drafting philosophy as much as a data/draft preperation template. If nothing else, put your team/roster spreadsheet together with just the player names & positions.
EDIT: Just noticed you are already in the middle of your draft, so yeah, its probably a bit late for this season.
Reds Dodgers Rays Top ML Pitcher Top ML Position
SS Gonzo (120/20/10) SS SS Baily Denorfia-OF/Votto-1B
2B Phillips 2B 2B etc etc
3B Encarnacion Jim/Joe Arty etc etc
This will allow you to identify position scarcity as the draft rolls on. You can quickly determine who many SS's are left, etc. The first year I drafted that was all I had, I added all the numbers, etc. later. In particular I found that marking the players into Top/Middle/Tier and color coding them (Green/Yellow/Red) gave me a pretty good one glance at my spreadsheet idea of who to pick next.
If I was doing it again, I'd probably take PECOTA projections and place the splits for BR/CR Breakout rate/Collapse Rate for the hitters. I'd not bother for the pitchers. If you come down to 2 guys that are similar, I'd check those numbers.
For example. Gonzo (120/20/10) would be The Reds Shortstop, Gonzo, at 120 pts per my projection with a 20% PECOTA Breakout rate and a 10% PECOTA Collapse Rate.
In this manner I'd have one page with all my information at a single glance. Given the guys left I should be able to pick up pretty quickly who has the highest score of anyone left, position scarcity, and if two guys are pretty similar, what PECOTA projects for this season for their chances to improve/relaspse.
This may all seem like alot, but once I had done it once and had all the procedures in a speadsheet I was pretty quick to update them each year. Like I said, I started with just the teams, players, and position matrix the first year and added on each year. I was doing this circa 1994 or so (minus the PECOTA) and most of the other guys simply came with some sort of cheat sheet out of a magazine.