Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
The limp-wristed, lilly-livered, spineless twit in me thinks that the people who have posted that These Reds could potentially win 95 games or lose 95 games are dead-on....
The cocksure pundit in me, however, is assuming you can count on management to do things "by the book" (no surprises, no outrighting Milton, no adding massive payroll, just working with what we got for six months), and is confident in two observations:
(1) The 2007 Reds are a marginally better team than the 2006 Reds
(2) There is no rational basis for assuming the 2007 NL Central will be as easily beatable as the 2006 NL Central was
Process and synthesize, and I think we're good for maybe a 3-5 game net loss versus last year. I have always been partial to the number 7, so let's pick towards the optimistic end of the Pragmatism Spectrum: