Originally Posted by dougdirt
You know the difference between this year and last year? Hits are not falling in for him. It really is that simple.
LD % 17.7 21.4
GB % 39.9 40.0
FB % 39.2 35.7
PU % 3.0 2.8
GB hit % 24 14
LD hit % 77 47
FB hit % 42 28
If anything, he seems to be hitting more line drives this year.... yet he still is not getting the ball to fall in. Votto will be FINE. Don't worry about him. He is walking 18.2% of the time he steps to the plate this year, up from 13.2% last year.
Yup, Votto will be fine, and there's nothing to worry about as far as I'm concerned. The league average for line drives falling in for hits is around 75-80 percent, which is where Votto was at last season. Given enough time this year, that 47 percent hit rate off his line drives will begin to level out and head right back up near 75 percent.
If Votto can continue putting up these 2007 batted ball percentages while maintaining that very nice improvement in walk rate, then he's knocking on the door of just exploding in the International League.