Originally Posted by IslandRed
I haven't read every projection or mock draft by any stretch, but the ones I have seem to think Dominguez will probably be off the board by 15.
Neither have I. But it's kind of like with college football recruiting; there's a lot of consensus-bubbling when it comes to comparing a California kid and a Texas kid. I wonder how many scouts have made a specific effort to scout both players.
I've seen some drafts where Dominguez is gone before #15 and others where he's still available so I think there is atleast a decent chance he's still available when the Reds pick.
I think the question about the number of scouts who have seen both players is a fair and interesting point. I'm not sure if the scouting services have any scouts / evaluators who have seen both Dominguez and Ahrens but I would hope that teams who plan on investing first round money would have cross-checkers who have seen both to make sure the club is getting the best player available at that position.
In regard to the initial post, I haven't seen anyone rate Ahrens ahead of Dominguez but it seems like their is a lot of speculation that the Reds are locked in on Ahrens. From the scouting reports I've read it seems that Ahrens might be the safer of the two because it seems like he has a more polished hitting approach while Dominguez might be in need of a bit of tweaking. On the flip side Dominguez seems to have better raw tools and a higher ceiling.
All things considered I don't hate the idea of drafting Ahrens but it does kind of have the feel of a financially based decision, particularly if some of the Boras-represented players fall in the draft.