Re: BuckeyeRedleg's Down on the Farm stock report (non-pitchers)
Top Reds Prospects - stock report (non-pitcher)
1. Jay Bruce-OF (Hi A) .965 OPS.....age: 20.2....Stock: CAN IT GET HIGHER?....ETA: Sometime in 2008
2. Joey Votto-1B (AAA) .930 OPS.....age: 23.8....Stock: RISING....ETA: Any day
3. Chris Valaika-2B/3B (Low A) .875 OPS.....age: 21.10....Stock: holding steady....ETA: Sept-2008
4. Drew Stubbs-OF (Low A) .789 OPS.....age: 22.7....Stock: holding steady....ETA: 2009
5. Juan Francisco-3B (Low A) .835 OPS.....age: 20.0....Stock: holding steady....ETA: 2010
6. Adam Rosales-UTIL (Hi A) .885 OPS.....age: 24.0....Stock: holding steady....ETA: 2008 (or never)
7. Justin Turner-OF (Low A) .866 OPS....age: 22.6....Stock: slowly rising....ETA: 2009/2010
8. Paul Janish-SS (AA) .753 OPS.....age: 24.8....Stock: holding steady....ETA: 2008 (or never)
9. Drew Anderson-OF (AA) .812 OPS....age: 24.4....Stock: holding steady....ETA: 2009 (or never)
10. Cody Strait-OF (AA) .714 OPS.....age: 24.0....Stock: holding steady....ETA: 2008 (or never)
Coming on strong (may make next list):
Daniel Dorn...22.10 (.754 OPS - Hi A, 1.030 OPS in 246 PA's at Billings in '06), Chris Heisey...22.6 (.744 OPS - Low A, .762 OPS in 275 PA's at Billings in '06).
1. Joey Votto (AAA) .930 OPS.....age: 23.8....My adopted prospect is now crushing AAA pitching (as predicted) and should join the big club soon. Prior to 2007, career minor league OPS of .861 (2057 AB's).
2. Logan Parker (Low A) .589 OPS....age: 22.10....Needs a strong year in Dayton and a move up to Sarasota. Seems to be struggling big time, at the moment. Ripped it up in his first year last year in rookie ball (Billings) to the tune of a .949 OPS in 277 PA's.
Summary: Not much, but it doesn't take much to move a bat here anyway. Not a position of concern. How about drafting D'Allesio again with one of the 5 early picks?
1. Chris Valaika (Low A) .875 OPS.....age: 21.10....Can rake. Is not a SS. How about 2B or 3B? Either way, he heads up both positions due to his stick. Bat has cooled a tad the past few weeks. OPS of .907 in 307 PA's last year in Rookie ball (Billings).
2. Justin Turner (Low-A) .866 OPS.....age: 22.6...."Red" is on fire and moved into top 10 list. Also now ahead of Griffin and Anderson on 2B list. OPS of .922 in 261 PA's last year in Rookie ball (Billings).
3. Drew Anderson (AA) .812 OPS.....age: 24.4....At 24 in AA and with B. Phillips firmly entrenched with the big club for a few more years, there's probably not too much of a future. AAAA ceiling. Now heating up. Prior to 2007, career OPS of .729 (1118 AB's).
4. Michael Griffin (Hi-A) .699 OPS.....age: 23.8....Don't know if there is a difference between he and Anderson, other than being at a lower level (although a year younger). Prior to 2007, career OPS of .689 (589 AB's).
Summary: Where will Valaika end up? 3B or 2B? If he's a 2-bagger, well, a decision will have to be made in Cincy by 2009. B. Phillips may have priced himself out of town by then anyway.
1. Paul Janish (AA) .753 OPS.....age: 24.8....Good glove. Juan Castro-like ceiling. Will he ever try stepping onto the mound? Is his bat finally catching up to his glove? Prior to 2007, career OPS of .789 (861 AB's)
Summary: Ouch. Hopefully we can develop a SS in Latin America or make it a priority in the draft. Who knows, maybe Gonzo can keep it up into his mid-30's.
1. Chris Valaika (Low A) .875 OPS.....age: 21.10...Can he play 3B? Question is, with EE's maturity, Francisco's emergence, and probable 3B taken in the 1st round of this year's draft, does it matter? Probably a 2-bagger.
2. Juan Francisco (Low A) .835 OPS.....age: 20.0....First year in the system. Possibly the Johnny Cueto Latin American feel good story of 2007. Exciting future.
3. Adam Rosales (Hi A) .919 OPS.....age: 24.0....This really needs to be his year to have any shot. Prior to 2007, career OPS of .823 (618 AB's).
Summary: See summary of 2B and replace Phillips with EE. Maybe Francisco makes this 2B/3B decision easier as well.
1. Jay Bruce (Hi A) .1.048 OPS.....age: 20.2....What can I say? This kid is all dat. Prepare for his arrival. Prior to 2007, career OPS of .857 (636 AB's).
2. Drew Stubbs (Low A) .785 OPS.....age: 22.8....I'm a tad skeptical about the bat, but he's got a bit of everything else that will give him the opportunity. Grady Sizemore-lite ceiling. Only put up an OPS of .768 in 251 PA's last year in Rookie ball (Billings). Must cut down on the K's.
3. Cody Strait (AA) .714 OPS.....age: 24.0. Rated ahead of Dickerson based on age only. Prior to 2007, career OPS of .743 (1181 AB's).
4. Chris Dickerson (AAA) .676 OPS (AA), .673 (AAA).....age: 25.2....Recently promoted to AAA and starting to come around. Not great, but probably better than Norris Hopper, so has hope. Prior to 2007, career OPS of .759 (1385 AB's).
5. Daniel Dorn (Hi A) .754 OPS....age: 22.10....After slow start, tore it up in May. Lead team with OPS of 1.030 in 246 PA's last year in Rookie ball (Billings).
6. Chris Heisey (Low A) .744 OPS....age: 22.6....OPS of .762 in 275 PA's last year in hitter-friendly Pioneer League (Billings). Between last year and this year, has pretty much mirrored Stubbs at the plate.
Summary: If Stubbs is the real deal, an OF of Hamilton, Bruce, and Stubbs is looking pretty good by 2008-2009.
1. Craig Tatum (Hi A) .735 OPS.....age: 24.1....His glove buys him some time. If something better comes along in the meantime, so long. Prior to 2007, career OPS of .700 (620 AB's).
2. Eddy Rodriguez (Low A)....681 OPS....age: 21.6....Pretty much first action and only has 90+ PA's so far. Got a late start and received only 20 PA's in Gulf Coast (Rookie) League last year out of U. of Miami.
Summary: Will have to do some homework, but I see nothing right now that excites me. We'll see how Long and Rodriquez do and then have an idea. I think the position should be recognized early this June.
Last edited by BuckeyeRedleg; 06-01-2007 at 02:44 PM.