Originally Posted by edabbs44
I'm not talking about trading the pick. There are two things that bother me about people knowing who they are selecting.
1) It shows that they are very concerned about signability, which means safety. To be locked in on someone at 15 is tough to do. A lot could happen between 1 and 15. But to be locked in on someone means you are probably overdrafting them since it is tough to gauge who will be there, unless you are 100% sure they will not be drafted by then.
2) Think about this. BA has Ahrens ranked at 28 right now. It's not out of the realm of possibility that he could fall to Cincy at 34. Say a team like Texas (with picks at 24 and 35) likes him as well. If Cincy were to take the BPA at 15 then hope that Ahrens drops to 34, Texas might take him at 24 since they know Cincy will pick him at 34. Trading or no trading of picks, it's not good for everyone to know who you really want in a draft.
I've seen that the Blue Jays are looking long and hard at Aherns with both the 16th & 21st pick - plus I've read just about everywhere that after the first 10 or so picks, the level of difference between 11 & 30 is miniscule at best. So take the guy your most comfortable with.