Originally Posted by dougdirt
Anytime that you draft for need in baseball you are setting yourself up to fail. The Reds have so much more pitching talent in the minors than they do hitting talent its not even really that close. You don't just draft the best pitching available if you think that the guy you are going to take would be the best pro one day. Did I like the Drew Stubbs pick at the time? Absolutely not. I wanted Billy Rowell like a fat kid wants an extra slice of birthday cake, but it didnt happen.
As for Stubbs not being great at anything.... I am not sure how much defense you have seen him play, but its great. The guy is like a thouroughbred out in CF. He just glides effortlessly to the ball like he isnt even trying. As for his bat, it has some questions, but when people try to compare it to BJ Szymanski I just laugh. They both strike out a lot, but thats about where it ends with the comparisons. Drew had a bad April, but in May he was very solid with a .403 OBP and a .447 SLG and he even improved the rate at which he struck out.
If he were a corner infield or outfield guy, I might be a little worried about his bat, but since he isnt and he plays one of the lightest hitting positions on the field, he truly needs to OPS just .750 and play good defense to be a very valuable player.
Well, you make some good points and even admit that you weren't a fan of the Reds taking Stubbs last year. I hope you are right that he is a great defensive player and not just good. Because there is no doubt in my mind he will struggle offensively in the majors. You don't draft defense and speed that early in the draft IMO. Just a huge blunder by Krivsky. I agree you can't "draft for need" but when Drew Stubbs is the best position player on the board, I'm taking the best pitcher available. That might sound simplistic, but no way was Stubbs worthy of a top 10 first round selection. He would have been a good pick for someone in the sandwich round, but I think we reached for him far too much (not saying he would have lasted until the sandwich round -- someone would have taken a chance on him in the first round, I'm just not happy it was us so early).
EDIT -- And I would posit that the Reds "drafted for need" when they took Stubbs. They wanted a right-handed hitting OF since all of their power hitting OFs are left handed. That just made the pick even worse IMO.