Originally Posted by M2
Last I checked, no one's got Ahrens rated in front of Dominguez, not one source anywhere.
I'm cool with it if the Reds think otherwise, they'd just better be right.
And since Ahrens has been associated with the Reds' pick for quite some time (dating back to when he was a borderline first rounder) now you'd have to be pretty naive not to think signability is a factor here.
Signability picks can pan out. If Ahrens turns out to be an Adrian Gonzalez, kudos. If he turns out to be a Chad Mottola, enjoy your albatross necktie.
I think Aherns will be a fine major leaguer. And I don't have any issues whatsoever if the Reds take him. But I'm with you, I'd rather have Dominguez if the choice was between the two. Especially if it's money.
So my choices would be
1 - Wieters - Who likely could be there
2a - Dominguez
2b - Aherns
Aherns late skyrocketing doesn't bother me either. I think he comps well Jay Bruce in a number of ways in that regard. That excites me - as both were 3-5th round options in the early spring, and earned themselves several million with a monster last few months. He's worked out fine.
However, I also wonder because the Bruce parallels exist, they may be giving aspects of Aherns game a brush over that they wouldn't otherwise, given Bruce's ascension to super prospect-dom. Because it's certainly not a given that Aherns=Bruce part II.