Originally Posted by Benihana
Its not a cheap, personal attack. I'm simply noting that in my opinion, you tend to overvalue these overperformers at the minor league level, ignoring the production level they've put up at the major league level. The truth of the matter is that Denorfia is turning 27 in two weeks, he will be almost 28 before he even gets a chance to contribute at the major league level, something he has yet to do.
Performance at the minor league level is important, because oftentimes good performance at the minor league level (especially with regards to walks and plate discipline) translates to performance at the major league level. Anytime a high caliber defensive center fielder has career minor league numbers of .296/.377/.441/.818, I'm interested. Especially when that same guy strung together two straight seasons in AAA with a near .900 OPS. That's the type of cheap production a team like the Athletics is willing to take a chance on.
How about the Reds? Chris Denorfia never got much of a chance to contribute at the major league level because the Reds just flat out never gave him the chance. Though what's interesting is what playing he did get, he still put up a .278/.358/.382/.740 line. What's the average center fielder's line this season? .264/.326/.406/.732. Looks to me like Denorfia's rate of production is on par with the league average center fielder. Toss in well above average defense, and that's a quality big league player. Who wouldn't want that for a league minimum salary?
Also, while simultaneously stashing Denorfia away on the bench or in Louisville last season in 2006, the Reds draft another center fielder with a reputation of solid defense with their first round draft pick. That's the same college hitter who will be 23-years-old in less than four months and is impressing Dragons fans down in Low-A with a .706 OPS. This comes after impressing fans up in Billings with a .768 OPS in the Pioneer League.
So yea, the Reds drafted a player who looks to be a poor man's version of Chris Denorfia while simultaneously crapping on the original version of Chris Denorfia.
As for the Denorfia trade, I'm rather indifferent on it, partially because McBeth's playing this season while Denorfia isn't. But if you don't believe Chris Denorfia has any value to a big league club, then I can't wait to see your opinion of one Drew Stubbs.