Originally Posted by ChatterRed
How about looking at his career numbers?
Yes, he is having a decent season. His numbers this season are far better than his overall numbers in the other seasons. ALL THE MORE REASON TO TRADE HIM NOW.
2007 through game 78(almost half way):
.271/.362/.575 22 Hrs, 52 RBIs, 7 SBs, 98 Ks.
Career average(includes 2007):
.248/.378/.518 40 HRs, 94 RBIs, 10 SBs, 185 Ks.
Dunn's 2007 BABIP (batting average on balls in play) is .340, up from .278 last year.... luckier when he makes contact. His 'line drive/ground ball/fly ball' rates on balls in play is 21.5%/32.8%/45.8% this year, close to career norms. See batted balls STATS HERE
A couple other interesting numbers: only 1 intentional walk this year, compared to 12 last year. Other teams take their chances pitching to Dunn with runners on now; no respect. Dunn's walk rate is down to 12.2% this year, compared to 16.5% career average.
So it seems to me his numbers are improved somewhat from career norms in a few categories(RBIs, avg. HRs), and worse in others(K rate, BB rate).
Should we trade him? Only if we get the right return. Desperation leads to bad deals....but we have to remember that last year Dunn had a terrible August to October slump. If that happens again, his off-season trade value will drop.
Keep in mind that if we hold on to him until the end of next year, and he then goes via free agency, we do get a supplemental 1st and 3rd(?) round draft picks. Nice article on the Mariner's Blog HERE
about whether to trade Ichiro or let him go in return for draft picks. Summary: compensatory draft picks have done better over time than spare part/rejects you ususally get in mid-season trades.