Re: Radical Drw Stubbs idea, promote him
Too early to give up on Stubbs or on your development team's ability to teach the kid to hit. He's been in pro ball 1 year. Now, if his name were a critical piece in a deal that brings the Reds a very nice arm, I wouldn't be bothered if Stubbs were traded. But, while he's in the organization, you have to do what's best for the kid's development.
For me, a key decision at this point is medical -- is his turf toe a significant drag on his performance? If so, I'd consider having him get the surgery in July or early August and be at full strength sooner for the off-season and 08. The way he's going now, he could end up at .200 and his confidence could get really damaged. If the turf toe is not really a problem, and he's just at a loss at the plate, you have to consider a demotion to Billings, where he could get some feel back. If he strokes it out there for a month, maybe then you vault him to Sarasota in August to join other ex-Daytoners (hopefully Valaika and Turner), but more as a reward and momentum builder for 08 than a bid to polish him for a trade -- though, as I said, if he could help bring back a very nice arm, I wouldn't blink at dealing him.
The signs aren't good on Stubbs, but we can't discount his medical situation, and, in my opinion, 1 year is too little time to think of him as nothing but a trading chip. A promotion to Sarasota is too risky -- it's a tough hitter's league, and if he were to bomb his confidence would be seriously gashed. My feeling all along on Stubbs is that it could take 2-3 years for his bat to come, with the biggest risk being that offensive struggles could infect his whole game and outlook. He may be in that territory now, I don't know, but sending him to high A would make it all the more likely. I wouldn't take that risk with him at this point.
"Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini