Originally Posted by jojo
Right but this thread is about properly assigning player worth and context is everything.
I wasn't trying to rag on you (or Dunn for that matter) but IMHO, your post illustrated the concept that there is perception of performance and there is true performance. Dunn will have very good June numbers. But the reality is that he really only had a great 4 days and a pretty average rest of the month. It may seem like hairsplitting but when deciding how to value a player, a key part of the equation is what should you reasonably expect him to do in the future (that's what you'll be paying him for anyway). Using Dunn's June as a primary marker, it's very probable that his bat would be greatly overvalued relative to his true ability.
Context is absolutely everything when determining a player's true worth.
Fair enough. I am just trying to say that Dunn's average June with a 4 game great stretch is enough to put a team over the hump and into the playoffs. And if Dunn gets hot in the playoffs his bat is enough to carry the team to a title. Beltran is a different type player than Dunn but his performance in the playoffs almost got the Astros to the world series. Dunn has the potential to do that same thing.