Originally Posted by Screwball
Did you forget where the Reds play their games? Last I checked GABP is pretty comparable to Coors as far as being a hitters' park. And if someone told me Bruce projects to OPS .850+ year in and year out (he actually projects to do better) with 120+ RBIs, why wouldn't I be excited?
I understand you want to temper your enthusiasm for a prospect, but Jay Bruce has the potential to be an elite player for years to come. OBM's projection isn't unrealistic at all.
Are you serious? Look at Larry Walker's 1999 splits:
Home: 1.410 OPS - Away: .894 OPS
Has anyone ever had splits like that in GABP? Or even splits which slightly resembled that?