Originally Posted by SteelSD
Cameron Maybin 2006: .304 BA/.387 OBP/.457 SLG
Cameron Maybin 2007: .303 BA/.396 OBP/.466 SLG
He's not hitting?
Look further at those numbers steel. He has 27% of his hits as infield hits. His BABIP is over .400 despite a 10.3 LD %.
Here is a post I made a week or two ago on another site about Maybin.
His entire statline looks good because of his speed. OK, not completely, becuase his OBP is good because of his walks. His average and his slugging are completely boosted by his speed though.
Here is my point with Maybin. Normally a players BABIP is LD% plus .120. Well that would set Maybin at .223 for what his BABIP should be. Even if that were to just remove his singles from the equation and keep all of his XBH, his line would now look like .158/.275/.324.
OK, now we have to say that he will get the benefit of his speed, so lets give his BABIP of .223 a boost of 77 points just to make up for how fast he actually is. Now we sit his BABIP at an even .300, which for how soft hitting he is, is being very generous. Again, it will only take away singles and leave his XBH alone, his new line would look like this : .212/.320/.378/.
I look at a guy like Ichiro who also has blazing fast speed, and the largest difference he has had in his career from LD% plus .120 to his actual BABIP was 96 points. His other seasons ranged from -10 to 68. I guess my point is that there is no reason to expect Maybin to continue to have nearly a 180 point difference in actual BABIP to what his BABIP should be based on LD% plus .120.
Maybin is a fine prospect, but he is not a top 10 prospect.
So yes, he is still not hitting in my mind. He is making contact and just running very fast. He is not making any type of solid contact, which can be seen by his 61% ground ball rate and his insane amount of infield singles (21 of his 78 total hits are infield singles).