Re: BA Midseason Top 100
Two thoughts on Maybin, putting the ball on the carpet when you've got supreme wheels like that is a sound hitting approach. In other words, if he puts the ball in play on the IF grass and uses his speed, he's going to have a high BABIP.
The difference between a .120 and .103 LD% is, roughly, one liner per 50 ABs. That difference could be ephemeral dependent on the quality of the line drives. For instance, during Eric Davis' prime with the Reds, there was a constant chorus of people who insisted he had a radically high percentage of liners go for hits and that it would correct itself pretty much immediately.
It didn't happen because the numbers were directly tied to Davis' talents. ED had severe whip action in his swing and freakishly strong wrists and forearms. When he hit a line drive, it was a screamer. Unless he hit it right at you, you didn't stand much of a chance of catching it. In fact, I recall a good number of ED liners going right at IFs and eating them up. When his swing came together to produce a liner, it was savage.
I'm under the impression that Maybin's got more than a little bit of that in him, that he hits is well enough to get some hits sometimes even when he hits it where they are (or where they could get to in normal circumstances). So his five liners in 50 ABs might be as or more effective than someone else's 6 liners in 50 ABs. It might not too, but given the consistency in his overall numbers over the last two seasons I think you have to allow for this being emblematic of something he does rather than of some random effect.
Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong
I'm witchcrafting everybody.