Re: 2008 playoff predictions
Wild card playoff - Rockies over Padres
Jake Peavy has one achilles heel; he doesn't go deep in to games. Fogg doesn't either, but I'll take the Rockies in a late innings slugfest.
NLDS - Phillies over Rockies, 3-1
The Phillies offense just bludgeons the Rockies despite getting very mediocre performances from pitchers not-named Cole Hamels.
NLDS - Cubs over Diamondbacks
The Cubs offense is the most underrated and they easily have the deepest team. If Big Z is on, he can outdual Webb, and even if he's not, I'll take Lilly and Hill over the unreliable Davis and Hernanez.
ALDS - Red Sox over Angels, 3-1
"The Red Sox do their homework. Expect the swing-happy Angels to get exposed." Yup.
ALDS - Indians over Yankees 3-2
Torre leaves his young guys out of critical situations and it bites him in the butt. The Indians starters have the best control of anybody in the playoffs, which will help offset one of the Yankees primary strengths.
NLCS - Cubs over Phillies 4-2
The Phillies will rue their decision to put Brett Myers in the bullpen. After Hamels, it gets ugly. The Cubs will lean on Carlos Marmol to get them out of jams, and he'll have a Frankie Rodriguez like coming out party. I imagine the Phillies will win a few blowouts, but the Cubs will win the close ones and win a blowout or two of their own.
ALCS - Red Sox over Indians 4-3
The de facto World Series, the Red Sox will reap the benefits of being careful with pitcher workloads. The bullpen will bounce back and the Sox have the advantage in the middle of the starting rotation. It will be a very back and forth series, but the Sox offensive depth provides a much greater buffer against an untimely slump.
World Series - Cubs over Red Sox 4-3
I have absolutely no reason to make this prediction. However, I live and Chicago and am so tired of hearing about the poor Cubbies. They will win and it will, oddly enough, be on the strength of guys who they didn't spend millions for -- Ryan Theriot, Rich Hill, Matt Murton, Geovanny Soto, and Carlos Marmol.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.