Re: The Value of our 2007 Cincinnati Reds
Originally Posted by RedsManRick
You're right. And I'm saying that I'm choosing to put more stock in that approach than in yours. I have no love affair with bloggers. I do have a preference for an evaluation approach which considers all available information examined critically. You apparently a purely qualitative, experiential approach. We'll have to agree to disagree.
I would absolutely love to hear what M2, Steel, and WOY have to say on the matter, particularly in regards to the numbers (and methodology behind them) which is the subject of this thread.
I think you have to tackle defense with a scattershot. I've yet to see a methodology without critical flaws. I like the idea of PBP assessment, but I think they measure the wrong thing. I like Dewan's idea of measuring plays made instead of runs makes sense. I think Bill James has lapped the field about two times over in terms of equating defensive value with performance at the plate. I think, given the holes in the methodology, that common sense and observation have a huge role to play.
I also think FCB has an excellent eye (he's proven it time and again) and that he does fantastic job of cutting through the noise to the heart of the matter in most cases. He's got horse sense. I respect the hell out of that.
Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong
I'm witchcrafting everybody.
Last edited by M2; 11-09-2007 at 04:03 PM.