Re: The Value of our 2007 Cincinnati Reds
Originally Posted by RFS62
That's about how many games I saw too. And that's also my assessment.
In a way, Griffey's experience in right field reminds me of when Michael Jorden decided he'd become a pro baseball player. Just because you're a great athlete doesn't mean you can just throw your glove out there and play with the big boys.
Griffey has an entire career judging balls hit to centerfield. Balls hit to center have very little sidespin. His entire experience has been in judging the ball off the bat to pretty much straight away center field with very little slice or hook.
And he has never had to judge the corners. These are huge things in playing a corner outfield position, especially right field.
No matter how great a center fielder he has been, the repetition born instinct of judging a ball off the crack of the bat isn't there. His countless thousands of reps taken in center don't automatically transfer to right. The sidespin of the ball is a new thing for him to get used to, no matter how great he was in center. And playing the bounces off the corners and knowing how far he is from the walls of all the parks is new too.
His starts are now more tentative, by a fraction of a second, which is enormous in MLB and made even more meaningful considering the fact that age has robbed him of his speed and injuries have taken away his quick burst fast start, which was once legendary.
It's very naive to expect anything more from Griffey than we've seen. It was totally predictable.
Griffey leads the world in pulling up short and playing it on a hop. Everyone sees the goofy error or the ball going through the gap and makes judgements on those, but those plays don't happen with enough frequency to be the determining factor IMO (especially for a corner OF who really doesn't have the job of making those plays. "Out of Zone" plays are much more relevant for up the middle defenders than for corner players and its one of my problems with these metric systems). Griffey gives up far more singles on balls that should be outs than any defender that I can remember seeing. Those plays extend innings and make the pitcher work with men on base and the cumulative damage to the staff over the course of the season is way more important than the occasional double that could be caught by a better defender. Griffey's defense is more harmful than Dunn's and its not even close. I don't really care what the hypothetical runs numbers, that have been calculated by systems that all have acknowledged significant flaws, say.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS