Originally Posted by Benihana
Well then maybe I just have a problem with rating someone who is 5 or more years away from the big leauges as a top prospect due to washout rate. I guess anyone can formulate any kind of "prospect" ranking based off any criteria they want. However when I look at these things, I want to not only base my evaluations off of a player's upside, but off of their likelihood to reach that ceiling. Maybe its a matter of a difference of opinion, but I don't think it is fair or realistic to ever rank someone who is more than a leap year away from contributing in the top 5 of anything. It's like creating a college recruiting magazine that profiles middle school athletes.
Well in hindsight I don't think anyone was projecting Szymanski to get to the big leagues at age 26 either. He washed out, but all prospects wash out. Not all of them, but all types. Pitchers, hitters, high schoolers, college kids, international kids, international free agents....