Originally Posted by Austin Kearns
I'd take a shot on Allison. If the Reds do upgrade the rotation before the season starts, it may be pretty easy to hide him in mop up for the season.
The Reds have succeeded with Hamilton, so I could see Allison seeing it as a great opportunity.
Lubanski is another guy I'd give a shot if he fell to us. He's still only 22 with decent success in AA. Willing to take a walk. As far as I know he can handle centre, and certainly is more of an athlete than anything. Plenty of upside, so he'd be my first choice.
He struggled big time in the PCL, but as I said he's only 22. Lots of time to grow into a hitter.
I struggle to figure out exactly how much credit the Reds deserve for the salvaging of Hamilton's career beyond taking the chance in the first place. So that colors what I'm about to say:
There is no reason to think lightning will strike twice with regards to Jeff Allison. The Reds do not have any particular organizational strength in rescuing fallen prospects (indeed, if it's even possible to really measure such a thing).
I don't know that I'm willing to spend a 25-man spot on a guy who won't necessarily be able to consistently contribute positively to the team's chances of success. My opinion has changed about this- part of it reflects the reality of the Castellini/Baker win-now worldview.
So, my point: Allison's the kind of chance a non-contender takes. The public perception is that Rule 5 choices are "risk-free", but there is only so much in the way of organizational resources and opportunity to evaluate talent. There are only so many spots- and you have to use them to maximize present and future value at all times.