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Re: Who is more ready?
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Originally Posted by Caveat Emperor
Pitcher A: Luke Hudson
Pitcher B: Homer Bailey
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It means ERA is a crap statistic for performance projection. There's so much variance in the things that cause runs to score that ERA is nearly useless as a measure of pitcher effectiveness over a small number of innings.
What I think we're all forgetting about Bailey is just how young he is. If he were still in Chattanooga blowing people away, we'd all still be singing his praises. We should appreciate the difference between a 27 year old Luke Hudson who was essentially a finished product and a 21 year old Homer Bailey who has just 317.7 professional innings under his belt.
CE, I really like your comment:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Caveat Emperor
It suggests nothing as a comp, I just thought people might find it interesting. FWIW -- everyone gravitated towards Hudson's ERA and projected him as a fix in the Red's rotation. That never worked out so well.
Goes to show you that 9 games are just that -- 9 games. Bailey had a bad run of 9 games. Tough to project anything at all from that with any degree of certainty.
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Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Last edited by RedsManRick; 12-18-2007 at 11:49 AM.
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