Originally Posted by dougdirt
The idea that Mesoraco could 'wash out' at the age of 20, in his first full season of minor league baseball is laughable. As far as Drew Stubbs or whatever insult you want to hurl at a guy learning to play the game still.... 6 good weeks of baseball? There are 4 weeks in a month and 9 weeks over 2 months.
June 2006 - 2 weeks - .807 OPS
August 2006 - 2 weeks (injury took away the rest of the month) - .807 OPS
May 2007 - .846 OPS
July 2007 - .925 OPS
August 2007 - .907 OPS
So thats about 17 weeks right there. Let me also ask, how do 3 years come into play for Stubbs? He has spent a year and a half in the system that consisted of 28 weeks of baseball.
As for Mesoraco, he was a fine prospect as a sophomore, hit quite well as a junior (just couldn't play defense because of TJ surgery) and then played very well as a senior season. So what the heck are you talking about? The kid played with two hurt thumbs this summer for the Reds and you are ready for him to wash out already? Jeeze. I hope you aren't an investor.
Todd Frazier may only project to hit 25 HR or so, but he also projects to hit about .300/.400 with those 25 HR.
As for Travis Wood.... there are so many left handed pitchers that work fastball/change up and hardly ever throw another pitch that I am not too worried about him developing a third pitch, but while we are talking about it.... he was throwing a curveball this year and it was coming along before the injuries. His change up is probably the best change up of any pitchers in the minor leagues, and his fastball is just fine. Cole Hamels works just fine in the 88-92 MPH range with his change up. He throws his curveball about 12% of the time. Johan Santana mixes in his slider just 12% of the time with his change/fastball. Having a third pitch is more for show at times than anything else.
It might be a little early to make any judgements on Mesoraco this season, although I'm not optimistic. Start him in Billings if you want, but if a Top 15 draft pick can't even make his way to A ball in his second season, it's not a good sign. Stubbs on the other hand, better hit and hit well for the first couple months this season, especially if he's only in Sarasota. If he doesn't, like I said, he's bust city.
I do like Wood, and will be interested to see if he can finally remain healthy for a full season this year, and what he can do if he does. That said, he's got a long
way to go before he approaches the same category as Bailey, Cueto, or even Maloney.
On another note, after reconsidering, I wouldn't be opposed to starting Frazier in Sarasota. Chattanooga would be too much of a jump, but Sarasota would be about right. Figure out where his future is on the diamond and place him there, then work Valaika, Turner, and Francisco around him.