Originally Posted by princeton
keep an eye on the farm, keep an eye on the pitching. Important predictors.
both MacPhail and Beane had two bad seasons to start their tenures. each had more success in year 3.
Brooklyn stuck with Branch Rickey in spite of three straight years of decliine, getting terrible in year three. finally won a pennant in year five (first year of Jackie Robinson)
Pittsburgh stuck with Rickey too, finally ran him off though, he created that monster that the Reds went against all through the 70's.
Giles did horrible his first three years if all one does is measure with a ruler marked MLB W/L Record.