Re: Reds 2008 ZiPS Projections
Projections are all flawed, imo. ZiPs to me appears way too pessimistic while James seems way optimistic. Basically they are just tools, like any other system of stat evaluation. With Belisle, ZiPs has totally miscalculated the role the Reds have in mind for him, choosing instead the historical data - never minding that relief was not his role at all in 2007 - ZiPs still insists it should be because his previous years were primarily as a reliever. So you have to look past obvious flaws like that when evaluating it.