Re: Rotoworld: 2008 NL Central Prospects
Originally Posted by dougdirt
I agree to a point. I think the ERA is within the range I would go with (although I am thinking more 4.25-4.50) but the walk rate doesn't jive so well and frankly neither does the hit rate. A 1.43 WHIP with those innings and those walks means he would project Bailey to allow 99 hits in 130 innings. I think the WHIP is roughly in line, but with more hits and fewer walks over that time.
I agree Doug. I think the projection is very close to what my gut projection would look like. But I'd swap out about 20-25 walks for hits and maybe bump up the ERA to the 4.90 range.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.