Originally Posted by GIK
HD-DVD is definitely cheaper, but the problem is, the library catalog isn't as large as Blu-Ray...and it will be falling behind with Warner-Bros/New-Line's announcement.
Just as an example, here's a few movies you'll only see on Blu-Ray:
The Lord of the Rings
The Matrix trilogy
I am Legend
Batman (new releases)
Harry Potter (new releases)
Austin Powers 1-3
The Golden Compass
The Assassination Of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Harold & Kumar
North By Northwest
The Shawshank Redemption
and on and on...
As WilyMo noted, The Matrix trilogy is already out on HD DVD. I haven't heard any reports of LOTR trilogy being produced, but it's hard for me to believe that it won't be. I really doubt that trilogy could be produced (especially in the "Extended" versions) in high-def on HD DVD anyway unless they included lossy audio. Not enough storage space.
Future Harry Potter films, The Dark Knight, The Golden Compass, I am Legend represent a big hit to the HD DVD side. No more Smallville: Season 7 either. I'd love to see the Blade Trilogy and Dark City (extremely underrated film) released in Blu Ray. Twister has an HD DVD scheduled release date for May 6th though, but that might be in doubt at this point.
But even with Warner in the mix, the HD DVD list is pretty sad over the next five to six months.
They timed the arrival of the Bourne trilogy right, as it came fairly hot on the heels of huge deals on HD DVD players, and Stardust is a fun recent exclusive. The Kingdom may be something I'll want to own. But I'm looking at that list for HD DVD-exclusive big hits and/or films of decent interest and all I get back is:
Zodiac: Director's Cut (Paramount)
Elizabeth: The Golden Age (Universal)
Bee Movie (Dreamworks)
For catalogue titles, here's what I'd be even mildly interested in:
The Pianist (wife loves it...no wisecracks!)
Dazed and Confuzed (re-release)
Star Trek Orig. Season 2 (Paramount)
That's it. Apparantly, Paramount has postponed the Jack Ryan collection, which is a solid catalogue trilogy. I'd love to have the new, retooled and remastered Star Trek original series seasons, but as Paramount is likely the next studio to go Blu, I ain't shelling out money for it on HD DVD. Beowulf might be the only new release HD DVD exclusive I'll purchase this year, unless Iron Man and the Incredible Hulk are X-Mas HD DVD release date targets (assuming HD DVD is still around).
Now, when I look at the Blu-Ray exclusives, I get:
3:10 to Yuma
Good Luck Chuck
We Own the Night
30 Days of Night (which really does own the night)
No Country for Old Men
Monty Python's Life of Brian
Master & Commander
And that's just through the beginning of May. Sin City is a weird one. The original is reportedly still owned by Disney and could see production in 2008, but Sin City 2 is Weinstein; meaning that the second could see an HD DVD-only release.
Honestly, I see the two exclusive-release lineups side-by-side over the next few months, and see Blu Ray simply throttling HD DVD in sales volume over the next few months even with Warner being kind enough to wait a bit to go BR-only. Once they leave...well...