Re: Tough decisions looming for Reds
Affeldt was paid 3M for the same reason Danny Graves was. We looked at his best work as a reliever and projected it in to a starting role, crossing our fingers that it would work. Steel hit the nail squarely on the head here. It's one thing to go out in to the free agent market and spend money acquiring something you cannot get any other way. It's quite another to go out and spend it on something you already have, particularly when doing so robs you of the chance to find out if that guy you have might actually be better, but likely isn't worse.
Not that it was a conscious action, but when it comes to guys like Affeldt, there's also a certain bit of CYA going on. If Krivksy signs Affeldt and Affeldt struggles, WK can place the blame on the "proven" pitcher who fell apart. If he gives the job to Coutlangus and Cooter struggles, WK has nobody to blame but himself. "Veteran presence" and "proven" are often simply code for "gets me off the hook for the decision if it doesn't work out while still letting me take credit if it does".
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.