Originally Posted by lollipopcurve
Do manager make strategic errors? Yes. Do errors such as Bochy's happen often? No. Does making an error such as Bochy made make him unqualified to manage? No (after all he was 4 division titles and a pennant to his credit).
Would a scribe, stat geek or table game dork (Sheehan's language) be able to make 100% correct strategic in-game decisions all the time? Highly doubtful. Were a scribe, stat geek or table game dork able to make 100% correct strategic in-game decisions all the time, would this make him or her (or it, the software) qualified to manage, given no professional on-field experience? Under no circumstances.
Mistakes happen. Leave it to vultures/green flies like Joe Sheehan to alight on them when they do.
I guess it's unreasonable to expect somebody at the top of the profession, getting paid hundreds of thousands of dollars (if not millions), managing millions of dollars worth of assets to get the basics of strategy right.
This wasn't a going against the percentages sort of thing that we often complain about. This was just stupidity. I don't know of too many guys in that position in other industries who could make similar mistakes repeatedly with no reprocussion.
Imagine if that was a error in a contract that went out and they lost a deal over it. You win some and you lose some, sure. But do you think the CEO would just shrug his shoulders?
And your argument makes no sense. Nobody (in this thread) is saying that the ability to make strategic choices correctly makes you qualified to be a manager. Obviously there are other qualifications. However, an inability to make the strategic choices correctly should disqualify you. And yet it doesn't...
But, to be fair, I recognize nobody's perfect. Before Sheehan gets too high on his horse, he should posit some alternatives. Who's out there who is otherwise qualified but doesn't make those sorts of errors. I assume they exist, but I certainly couldn't point to any who don't already have a job. (Davey Johnson doesn't want one...)