Originally Posted by Dom Heffner
FCB- his peripherals indicate luck. They do.
A pitcher cannot expect only 21 percent of the balls put in play against to fall in as hits when much, much better pitchers aren't having the same type of success.
I will bet anyone on here an opening day ticket to next year's game a GABP that Cliff Lee does not sustain a .212 BAPIP the entire season.
Sure it's going to correct. That's not what I'm saying--but even "corrected" his numbers are going to be very, very good. His K/BB ratio is ungodly, and that is unequivocally not luck.