Re: Drew Stubbs....
For some reason, I see Stubbs as the kind of hitter where his numbers will stay the same or grow as he advances. He was .768 in Billings (2006), .785 last year in Dayton, and he's .783 currently in the pitcher-friendly FSL. If I had to make a prediction, I would bet he'll go .780-.800 in Chattanooga. The real question is will he be able to make the transition to AAA and ML pitching. I don't think it's set in stone that if you dominate in A and AA that you will in the majors. By the same token, I don't think true talent is always going to struggle or hover around the league average. Some may get better as they advance and some hit their peak in A or AA.
Jeff Keppinger had a career minor league OPS of .792 and all we've heard about this guy is how he's always hit. In fact, he is an example of a guy raising his OPS at almost every level.
Obviously Keppinger (4th round, PIT) wasn't a top 10 pick, so he was under less a of a microscope and it's human nature that he's going to get more leeway than the top 10 pick. I just think it's interesting how he's considered by many Reds fans to be the team MVP and such a great hitter and the guy has a career .792 minor league OPS and is at .809 so far in the bigs.