Re: The Reds can't offer a long-term contract to a player that is hitting .229 in Jun
I know OBP and SLUG and all that is the popular way of doing things and it makes SENSE that walks should be included in the stats since it's essentially a single, so call me old school, but I think batting average is becoming an overlooked indicator nowadays to all the stats out there.
How can you tell how many of Dunn's walks were due to just pitchers pitching around him? What's the percentage of those walks that he scored a run on versus those he scored a run on with a hit? It's a big difference getting on base by hit than by walk if the pitcher is just pitching around the guy because he thinks its pretty meaningless. Or the opposing pitcher could jsut be throwing wild and walknig several guys. Who knows? Not that OBP isn't a good indicator and its important that guys get a walk, but it really doesn't put in context how or why the walk was issued. Putting the bat on the ball and getting a hit is pretty much a standard plus for your team no matter what you do. So, in other words, when a pitcher pitches strikes or Dunn swings the bat, Adam Dunn gets on base about 1/4th of the time.
I think something needs to be said about the fact we've essentially only had ONE full time player batting over .300 at one time - be it Keppinger or Hairston - and right now our best hitter for average that is healthy is Votto at .275. Bruce has been doing well but hasn't played only a couple weeks. Then you go look at the league leading club in the Cubs and they have a TON of guys up there around .290-.300. I remember a few weeks ago I was counting their lineup that played and they had SEVEN guys in their lineup batting .300. Right now I count NINE players with significant playing time that are above .280 in average. And even then, literally Soriano is at about .283, the rest are basically .290 or above. We have had NO HEALTHY FULL TIME PLAYERS that are on that level and they have EIGHT.
That should sum up the difference right there. OBP and SLUG and all that is nice and all, but there is something more fearful when you go up against a lineup where basically any guy can put the bat on the ballat any time on you because they're running out .290 batters at every spot in the lineup. Our 1999 team was a lot like that too if anyone remembers. We really need to change the makeup of the team and get more guys who can put the bat on the ball on the squad.
Last edited by LouisvilleCARDS; 06-17-2008 at 09:33 PM.