Originally Posted by M2
It all sounds good until you note that he's not slugging as well as Chris Heisey (career .425 SLG). Stubbs currently ranks 30th among FSL qualifiers in SLG. 30th in the SL would net you you .422, currently held by Ronnie Merrill and Bryan Byrne. Who? Exactly.
You can argue up is down all you want, but the problem you keeping running into is that Stubbs lacks even comparative strength in the SLG department. His teammates and league peers (most of whom play in less friendly hitting parks) are outpacing him.
You also suffer from verb tense problems. I'm saying he IS not slugging and that he HAS not slugged in the past. Whether he will is another question entirely. Though to answer your question, those factors given his age do make it unlikely that he will ever feature much power in his game in the future. You are aware that most players who are 23 with a career .412 SLG don't ever develop significant power, right? That doesn't mean Stubbs can't be an exception to the rule, but I'm not inclined to listen to the speculation of someone who can't even admit that he's got a SLG problem as to whether he can make that jump.
All I am saying is that his slugging right now is likely a whole lot stronger in every other league in the minors than it appears in the FSL. I don't think he will ever slug .500, but I don't think .450 is out of the question in his prime either, especially given GABP. Its also interesting to note that once he gets out of Sarasota he has a .900 OPS on the year and a .308/.430/.470 line. He isn't tearing the ball up with that .470 slugging, but the ballpark certainly is doing its share of damage.