Originally Posted by Blue
I agree with everything you said about individual players, except for Cueto, who I thought would be better than he has been. I still like his future.
However, I think its true that the Reds can't pitch this year. The pitching staff (and defense) have given up the third most runs/game in the NL. Even with an average defense, its still got to be pretty bad.
Well, in regards to Cueto...you still have to factor in the "young" part. That means inconsistant. He went through his "learning phase" with those multiple poor starts after his great debut. He seems to be coming back around. I don't think we should expect Volquez-type numbers or Cueto-springtraining-type numbers. Just solid production from a #3 or #4 starter. And despite his lack of wins, his era should be considerably lower than what it is now if he had a defense behind him.
In regards to the team era...take out Fogg, Weathers, Merker & Lincoln as I said and it's very good. Harang and Arroyo are NOT going to continue to pitch the way that they have so far this year. Their track record alone says that they'll snap out of it. Our team era has taken a beating from our 5th starter fiasco and the above mentioned relievers. Once this F.O. figures out that it's time to dump them (Fogg and Weathers at the bare minimum) is the time that we'll see that ERA make an about-face. I also simply can't imagine us getting WORSE pitching from the #5 starter the rest of the season. I just don't think it's possible. 13 starts from the trio (Belisle, Fogg, Bailey) have resulted in 70.1 ip / 67 earned runs / 8.60 era. I think Ryan Freel could pitch 13 games and have at least comparable numbers :O)