Originally Posted by oneupper
WPA isn't really predictive nor does it try to be. A few "clutch" games and a player's WPA can vary quite a bit. Brandon Phillips, for example, had accumulated a LOT of negative WPA before he went on his recent hot streak.
That said, better hitters tend to have better WPAs over the course of a season.
Kepp is not an error...he's been neutral WPA this year. GIDPs KILL. But as a reference, Alex Gonazalez was -1.07 in 2007. Not making outs is important.
As for high PA spots...OBP is a better. Use that.
And since this is WIN probability, a winning team will have an overall positive WPA, while losing teams...well...they have to distribute the negative.
WPA shows how a player PERFORMED situation-wise during a certain period.
It says if that player WAS clutch, but you can't really use it to determine if a player IS clutch (as in...performs better under pressure situations).
That is truly very interesting and helpful, thank you.
I thought that I saw a correlation between WPA and OBP. They will predict a fequency won't they? Or probability? Of course not always, in a game of failures.