Originally Posted by kpresidente
The Cubs played Ryan Theroit as SS, who's worse than Keppinger. They won the division. He had a .387 OBP.
The Reds had a winning record with Hairston in the line-up...playing SS. He had a .384 OBP.
So, yes, a .380-.400 OBP is what we need. What we don't need is Corey Patterson part II.
We have a defensive SS. If offense doesn't matter, just play Janish. He might be able to manage a .300 OBP. I'm not sure Greene could.
We had a terrible defense last year, but will upgrade the OF at least, by default, so things will already be better.
We had a terrible team OBP last year, but lost our best hitter and have yet to replace him, so things will be worse.
It's a matter of outs. How many does the player get you vs. how many does he cost you. What you need to win in baseball is good starting pitching, OBP, and small contracts. I care about defense after those are established. I'd love to have Jimmy Rollins as much as the next guy, but he's not available.
If you care about outs, then you should care about defense. If your defense can't make outs, than you will lose. The Cubs had a very strong defensive team, including Theriot at SS.
Let's put it this way. The key to baseball is that you get three outs to score runs in every inning. If a team is given four outs, they will score significantly more runs than if given just three. That includes not just errors, but not getting to balls hit to your position. Fontenot as a starting SS would give the other team four outs at least once a game. That is going by his range factor at 2B, which is over one full chance below league average. At SS it would be even worse. And that would be huge. If the other team only scored one run half the time, that is 81 runs at least that he would be responsible for. And that is a very conservative estimate. There is no way his high OBP makes up even half of that.
If you care about outs, you need to care about defense.