Re: Dont play poker with David Weathers
If you ever find yourself in a good mood and don't feel like you have actually earned all that happiness, just come read Redszone for a couple of minutes. Geez. Weathers accepting arbitration is the Redszone equivalent to the end of the world as we know it. All he has done for the past four years is give the Reds around 290 IP with an ERA right at 3.60. Who needs that kinda pitching? And now the team has to sign him for ONE WHOLE YEAR!! Everyone knows that 2009 was the year Cincinnati was going to the World Series. And now Stormy has just blown that all to hell. Goodbye playoffs this year! Thanks, Stormy ?!??%$#!!
Am I missing something here? People actually "HATE!" him for accepting arbitration? A dose of reality is needed here. Josh Roenicke or Danny Herrera were going to make all the difference? If anything Roenicke's (9.00-ERA) and Herrera's (7.36-ERA) 2008 seasons would seem to indicate that they just might need a little more seasoning. Sample size notwithstanding.
I believe David Weathers is going to give the team another season much like the last four. Would that be so awful? And what would lead a person to believe that Weather's 2009 season is going to fall in line with the previous four? Well, just look at his 2008 stats. Stormy was the epitome of crafty veteran pitching. Let's take a look.
With no one out he faced 113 batters and walked exactly three of them. And two of these walks were of the intentional variety. That leaves one unintentional walk in 111 plate appearances. That hardly screams control problems. It was as if early in the inning Weathers was relying on his defense. (Although how, after watching this team play defense for four years, he came to that conclusion is a bit bewildering). The deeper he got into innings - especially with men on base - he began to pick and choose who he was going to pitch to. Excluding intentional walks, with one or two outs he walked 21 batters in 192 plate appearances. He would pick certain batters and nibble. Hoping they would be overeager, he would give them a chance to get themselves out. If he walked them it was no big deal; he didn't want to pitch to them anyway.
With no one on base Weathers walked five of 143. He was pitching to contact and relying on his defense. With men on he walked 17 of 160 (plus 8 more intentionally).
Did his stategy work? With no one on he had a .940 OPSA. With runners on this dropped to .619 OPSA. With runners in scoring position it took another dip down to .547 OPSA. The end result was an ERA of 3.25 in 69.3 IP. After a slow start to the season his ERA was 2.65 from June 1st on. I would contest that the answer to that question is yes. His strategy did work.
David Weathers accepted arbitration. Is it really all that bad? I don't think so.
Last edited by texasdave; 12-08-2008 at 01:09 PM.