Originally Posted by Raisor
Three of Willy T's four seasons he was in the 65 RC territory. (per 600 PA's) One season he was in the 85 RC territory (still below average for a CF by the way).
Who wants to lay odds that he'll be in the 65 RC territory again?
If he quacks like a duck, and swims like a duck....
Sign it, because apparently it's duck season.
Originally Posted by _Sir_Charles_
Not in the least. I know it's a repeatable skill. As is getting a base hit. And BOTH repeatable skills will fluctuate with proficiency throughout the season.
And regardless of which player (WMP or Dunn) has more power, Dunn causes more fear in opposing pitchers...hence more IBB and pitching around him. But both swing and miss a TON. Unfortunately, THAT'S a repeatable skill as well.
By this Dunn must have been IBB 70 times last year alone. It's a repeatable skill but he was pitched around all the time. Which is it? And ofcourse counting stats fluctuate. There are all kinds of factors for that to happen. but strangely enough BB's seem relatively unaffected. Lets look at Adam Dunn again from 2008.
BA and BB totals by month
Month BA BB's
April .232 23
May .284 20
June .161 22
July .310 10
August .217 26
Sept .227 20
I see a wildly fluctuating BA and a remarkably consistent BB totals.