Re: Reds sign Willy Taveras to 2 year deal....
Here is how lifetime stats for a player with 4 seasons can be misleading. If I have done the math right his speed adjusted OPS for a 162 game average is .758: .313 OBP, .445 SLG. But 2007 skews the data a bit due to games played. At least IMO. I do think Taveras became a better base stealer, and I think he did that in 2007, not 2008. Again, games played. He played in almost 50 fewer games in 2007 than in 2006 but stole the same number of bases. Something clicked in 2007, and base stealing is speed + instincts + coaching. But in order for him to have a speed adjusted OPS similar to a non speed adjusted OPS that anyone would consider acceptable, Taveras needs a 90% SB percentage, AND he needs 60+ SB's. He needs quantity and quality to achieve what other leadoff hitters equal or better without the SB's.
He needs to suddenly learn how to take a walk at twice the rate he has at this point in his career.
"don't end up with a grandson with a dog collar."