Re: Grade Our Owner - Mr "Win Now"
I think your numbers for Encarnacion are off by about $3.5 Million bucks. Your Weathers numbers are low as well IMO - probably would add another $1 Million there. Mike Lincoln will only make $1.5 Million in '09. Assuming the rest of your math is right, that puts the team at about $75 Million. You also need to figure on a couple million for the rest of the 40 Man roster. Even at AAA Salaries with some guys spending part time at the big league level while guys are on the DL, those guys won't be free. At one point I read that the team may be willing to go as high as mid-80s. I'm guessing the economy, and lower season ticket projections, may have scaled that back to $80 Million or lower. There is also the matter of new stadium exemptions from revenue sharing for both of the NY teams. That surely will lower the amount of money coming in.
If the team passes on Lincoln and Taveras and goes with the likes of Roenicke and Dickerson in those positions, they would have $8 to $10 Million. That is more than enough to help the offense in LF. It may not get the ideal MVP candidate RBI man, but would get them some run production. By squandering even that seemingly small chunk of the budget, I'm guessing we're stuck with Jerry Hairston JR for a couple million instead (more squandering IMO).
I'm guessing they may end up with some insurance money on Gonzalez because I think the idea of him actually playing is still a huge uncertainty. Unfortunately it won't be anything they can plan on having when planning the roster. Hopefully they can deal a couple of the minimum making Rotation/Pen candidates for a young defensive SS with offensive upside. Another idea may be to deal Weathers and his arb case to free up some room. Teams are always looking for decent middle guys and the commitment would only be for a year which might be attractive. I think a deal with the Yankees (who really need a guy like Weathers) for one of the excess OF (Swisher? Nady?) might be a way to redistribute some of the budget to some offense without taking on much additional money. The Reds have plenty of kids or starter alternates to plug into the bullpen.
As for my grade on Cast? I think he's a lot of hot air, but I don't blame anyone for holding the spending down to the revenue levels. I would not expect any owner to take money out of his/her pocket beyond their initial investment in the team to finance the team's operations. Since this is a partnership, I think the minority owners would also have to agree to put in their proportional amount or the decision would be in violation of the partnership agreement. If I understand it, Cast can make the decision to break-even, but he can not knowingly allow a budget that would require additional investment without approval of the other partners. If the Reds have a line of credit available, Cast could make the decision to borrow from it to increase the payroll. If they did that, I'd call that a stupid decision and I hope they haven't.
So, I guess I give him an F for speaking out of ignorance and another F for meddling in the Managerial decision last year. But the budget is not as flexible as many here would believe and the allocation is largely on the GMs IMO. He gets an A for stepping up and allowing a portion of the budget for investment in the international signings (Duran, Rodriguez, Arias, Guillon, etc.) and the money poured into the farm system by signing late round picks like Sulbarren to early round money. I give him a B for bringing back some former Reds and getting them involved in Spring Training (about time Jim Maloney got some respect). Overall I give him a C-.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS
Last edited by mth123; 12-30-2008 at 09:23 AM.