Re: Reds sign Willy Taveras to 2 year deal....
Originally Posted by Caveat Emperor
I actually think it's fairly conservative.
Every uptick in OBP increases the total number of PAs for not just the hitter, but the other hitters around him in the lineup.
30 more walks means 30 more opportunities for the next man up. Even figuring the next man up at .350 OBP, that's an additional 11 times on base for him.
So, suddenly we've got not just 30 extra guys on base, we've got 41 additional guys on base. And, of course, we're not even factoring HOW the next guy gets on base -- it might be a walk, or it might be a double, or even a home run that adds a tick directly to the run total. If you give a guy like Joey Votto an extra 30 PAs, you can predict with some certainty that he's probably going to hit an additional HR (given his PA per HR is well under 30).
Cascade effect of high OBP -- it brings your hitters to the plate more frequently and gives more opportunities to score runs.
I think this is my favorite post of the year.
And it's Dec 30, so that's saying something.
"But I do know Joey's sister indirectly (or foster sister) and I have heard stories of Joey being into shopping, designer wear, fancy coffees, and pedicures."