Re: The Color of Clutch
Originally Posted by camisadelgolf
I think part of the problem is that people are calling it 'clutch'. I prefer to simply call it situational hitting. If a runner is on 2nd with no outs, the hitter's going to get different pitches to hit than if there were a runner on 1st with one out. Some players hit certain pitches better than others, and I think that has more of an effect.
I think this is a very important observation. What most people consider "clutch" isn't simply being more productive in a general sense in high leverage situations. Rather, it is being able to produce a particular given outcome when the observer believes said outcome is most desirable.
For example, there are a large contingent of fans who, with a man on 3B and one out would prefer the bat fly out to deep CF than take a walk. That's the issue. People don't see clutch as producing positive outcomes -- they see it as producing a very specific outcome, one which leans very heavily to putting the ball in play on command. As Tango points out, this bias is clearly evident in his study. And given basic psychology it's pretty easy to understand why it exists.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Last edited by RedsManRick; 02-20-2009 at 10:16 PM.