Re: 2008 Offense vs 2009 Offense
There's 15 pages in the ORG about how BA w/RISP is a pretty useless stat, but that's neither here no there.
Yes, even as useless as I batting average is, I realize that the Reds will probably need to hit for a higher average in order to lift the OBP because we don't have guys that work the count. And I disagree that a walk dependent OBP will struggle against good pitching. Guys that control the strike zone and force the good pitchers to throw strikes, are the guys that will have a high average and OBP. The Reds problem is they have too many free swingers that swing at balls out of the zone that leads to outs and lower BA and OBP.
Also the HR is creating offense. This get'em on, get'em over, get'em in crap is only good in the micro of a baseball game. I prefer get'em on, get'em... or just get'em. The HR is the best form of offense no matter what Marty has to say. There is no way a HR can be turned into an out. It puts run(s) on the board every time and you are not counting on more hits from other players, defensive mistakes, and great defensive plays can't cut a guy down at the plate.
Putting the ball in play is also bunk unless you are avoiding outs... once again in the micro (RBI FC, Sac Fly, GB to the right side) some outs are better than others, but all in all the K is just another out.
Find guys that get on base. Groom players to work counts. Look for players that acquire the most bases per hit. You'll cross homeplate more often with this type of team.
I know a lot of people are talking about his on-base percentage (.308 in 2008), but I like to think more in terms of him his in-scoring position percentage. - Our Beloved Manager