Re: I don't see how in the World it's possible for this team to win less than 85 game
Trying to project a team's record this way is not effective. A better way is to project how many runs the team will score, based on the projected lineup, and how many they will give up. Then use the Pythagorean formula to project W/L. If the Reds have good defense, team speed, "baseball IQ", clutch factor, etc; they might finish with a record slightly better than the Pythagorean.
That methgod is also more or less meaningless. No one really knows if Jay Bruce is going to be 34/105/.295 or 21/81/.275. And no knows if Volquez is going to be as good as last year, or even better, or the sophomore jinx. Cueto is a HUGE unknown. On the one hand he has maybe the best stuff on the staff. But he wasn't really all that good last year.
I am excited to watch a little baseball this year and I hope the Reds win some games.