Originally Posted by Edskin
Good thread idea....as Reds fans, we should "scoreboard watch" as often as we can-- haven't had that opportunity much in recent years, so I'm going to take advantage even if we're still two weeks away from Memorial Day.
The only team in the 4-team scrum right now that really "scares" me is Chicago. I think that if we play moderately well that we'll be able to keep pace with the Brewers and Cards, but I could see the Cubs getting really hot over the summer and getting some distance even if the Reds continue to play solid ball. But then again, I'd be just as happy with the wild card, so I'll be keeping an eye on the second place team(s) in the East and West as well.
But for right now, my focus is soley on the Central. Houston and Pittsburgh are not relevant. They could play spoiler, but they do not factor in the equation.
Milwaukee is playing very well right now, but I think their record is more "fluky" than ours at this point-- how long will that rotation hold up? The Cards are tough as always, but not scary, IMO-- I don't see them as a potential 90+ win team.
We're hot right now, and the best thing we can hope for is to stay hot for at least another couple of weeks-- set ourselves up so that we can afford a bit of a dip.
The Cubs are really banged up right now, and aging a little quickly. I would not be surprised if they tanked this summer actually. There is very little excitement around the Cubs in my area this year. Of the 4 games I've been to, only 1 has sold out, and that's saying something around here. If their injuries linger, they are in some serious trouble. Theriot and Fukudome have played way above their natural ability, and will eventually regress to their norms. They would be flirting with .500 if it weren't for those two IMO. Plus Soriano will always get hurt, just a matter of time.