Re: 2009 Tour De France
I just looked at the tour map. There's only three summit finishes in this year's tour. It's not necessarily a climber's race. Instead I think it's built for a racer who can pile up small time gains when the opportunities present themselves - e.g. someone like Lance Armstrong.
Already today we saw the field splinter due to some crosswinds and Armstrong found himself in the lead group that put 41 seconds on the rest of the race. I think you're going to see a lot of incremental gains like that and the key will be consistency more than single moments of excellence (though a breakaway in a relatively flat stage could enable a rider to pull off a surprise like Oscar Pereiro in 2006).
Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong
I'm witchcrafting everybody.