Re: Weathers, Reds avoid arbitration with $3.9M deal
Originally Posted by jojo
Here's really why I'm such a Weathers agnostic (BTW, I think Weathers is actually a nice guy and likely a good influence in the club):
His peripherals are below average for the pen. Well, they're below average for a major league pitcher, period.
His "luck metrics" (or randomness metrics if one prefers; LOB%, HR/FB, BABIP) are screaming in that they have all been significantly better than his career norms but not in a consistent pattern belying an underlying skill that might be "controlling" them.
Finally, turning off the computer and using the eyes also reveals a guy that is less than inspiring.
He's the perfect storm.... and I'm very hesitant to believe that he's weathered it by possessing a skill that is subtle enough to escape the numbers and the eyes when there is an explanation (randomness).
Like I said, it's great that he's given the Reds innings. It's not so great that the Reds couldn't figure out another way.
I get the logic. But its been 3 and a half seasons now where his performance numbers say he should be getting killed and his luck numbers say he's lucky. I think its something else.
"All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS