Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..
My prediction of 77 wins seems idiotic right now, though I will submit that I also didn't foresee as many injuries as the Reds have had. You always must take into account some injuries, but they've had a few more than expected.
Nevertheless, gonelong mentioned that the formula in recent years for actual wins has been "ORG Average - 7 = Actual Wins." With the ORG average at 79 wins, that'd pin the Reds right at 72 wins, and that seems very realistic and on target at this point.
Barry Larkin - HOF, 2012
Put an end to the Lost Decade.