Re: Heyman says Rolen to the Reds
After thinking about this for a bit... I don't completely mind the players that we gave up. Roenicke looks like a good, but not great bullpen arm. One that should fit in a set-up role.
Zach Stewart, has been quite good, albeit in a limited sample as a starter. I think he's a great bet to be a late inning reliever, but not nearly enough evidence to suggest the same as a starter. I think he absolutely does have a chance to be a Derek Lowe, but at the same time, if he were so obviously good, it's hard to imagine why he was thought of as a reliever come draft time, and why the Jays seem to be looking at him as more of a reliever.
Edwin is no longer cheap, can't field, and his bat looks like nothing more than the low .800's he's been doing. As that, I think we can all agree on that he doesn't have much, if any trade value.
In total, I'm not sure if the return is much different than what the Cards gave up for DeRosa. I considered that an overpayment at the time, but he's also a FA to be, and isn't nearly as good as Rolen (closer to EE). With the salary the Jays are covering, he's not an albatross by any means. I think it's arguable that forgetting about how badly the Reds actually need the guy, that the price is pretty reasonable.
Now my biggest question continues to be, is Rolen a fit for the 2010 Reds? For that to happen, the Reds better be ready to contend. I'll take an edabbs approach on this one.... if the Reds make some other moves in addition to this, to make the team a potential contender next year, I wont have any problems with this. If Rolen is THE move, it's a complete waste of assets and misallignment of the team's assets.
Rolen is a really good player, the fielding is obviously still there, and his line drive power might play well enough in GABP's short left might lead to a bigger HR boost than the normal park factors would indicate. I don't think it's out of the realm of possibilities that he could string together a few high .800 OPS type of numbers outside of the AL East in GABP. The Reds run the risk of injury especially if it means they can't trade him later on next year if the team can't contend, but if the overall plan is to contend next year, and Rolen is just one of a few of the moves on the horizon, I think this can be a very reasonable trade.