Originally Posted by OnBaseMachine
The only way the Rolen trade makes any sense at all is if the Reds go for it next season. That means acquiring another starting pitcher or two, upgrading shortstop, releasing Willy Taveras and replacing him with Dickerson/Heisey/Stubbs, and signing a big bat for left field (Dye is potentially a FA). That's what it will take for the Reds to contend in 2010.
Originally Posted by edabbs44
I agree and said something similar at the time. If the team is made over between now and OD 2010, this will look a lot better.
It's just way too big of an if. Way too many things have to go right. This team is on pace to win 69 freakin games. Too many things have to be done to make this team competetive, and given the salary restrictions, I have no faith that any of them will actually be done.
Is Walt going to pay WT $4M to sit at home? I doubt it. He'll be the CF'er next year on opening day.
Who is going to play shortstop? I wouldn't mind signing Miguel Tejada to a one year deal, but who is going to pay for that? Doesn't look like any farmhands are going to be ready. I bet they either pick up Gonzo's option, or resign him for less. That's how little my faith is in Walt. I believe that he is going to pay millions for the 3rd least valuable player (based on VORP) in the major leagues. (Heck, he spent $6.25M on the 4th worst).
The rotation is in shambles. No Volquez, and will Harang and Arroyo be there? If they are there, are they going to be any good? Is Cueto the pitcher he was in the first half, or the last month? Is Bailey going to be consistent? Is Owings's shoulder done?
Will Bruce finally start to hit?
Who is going to play Left field? If it's Gomes/Nix, this team is going nowhere.
To properly address all of these problems, it is going to take at least $20M, and there is no way I see that happening.