Originally Posted by RedsManRick
It's absolutely possible that something is going on which causes Reds pitchers to be poor out of the shoot. And there's certainly no harm in digging around a bit to see if we can't uncover something. It certainly wouldn't be the first time somebody has suggested the Reds' have poor advanced scouting...
But given 16 teams, one of them has to be the worst and it's likely some team will have numbers that seem out of line with the quality of their pitching staff. We should also consider the selection bias involved in the observation -- what if Reds starters struggled in the 3rd inning relative to the league? Would we still be concerned? Would anybody have noticed at all?
3rd inning and 1st inning are different if you ask me. 1st inning you start fresh and have a game plan for the game. 1st inning is a starting point, 3rd inning normally falls in with the flow of the game.
What I would be interested in is the 2nd time through the order, which would start right around the 3rd inning, so yes that could be important and a telling stat. 1st innings runs tend to put you behind the 8 ball, which stats have shown the Reds do quite often. IMO important innings to look at run wise in baseball are the 1st, 8th and 9th innings.